Host Nation Advantage
Host Nation Advantage
How USA, Mexico and Canada compare to neutral expectations based on their opponents' strength.
🇲🇽
Mexico
Group A
37%
Predicted
69.6%
Neutral expected
-32.6%
Tough group
South Africa
33%
South Korea
45%
Czech Republic
33%
🇺🇸
USA
Group D
33.3%
Predicted
72.4%
Neutral expected
-39.1%
Tough group
Paraguay
50%
Australia
50%
Türkiye
0%
🇨🇦
Canada
Group B
38.7%
Predicted
72.4%
Neutral expected
-33.7%
Tough group
Bosnia & Herzegovina
33%
Qatar
50%
Switzerland
33%
Neutral expected = 100% minus average opponent predicted win% across their own fixtures.
Host Nation Track Record
Mexico, USA and Canada — their World Cup history 2010–2022.
🇲🇽
Mexico
15Played
6Won
1.4PPG
0.93GPG
🇺🇸
USA
12Played
3Won
1.17PPG
1.08GPG
🇨🇦
Canada
3Played
0Won
0PPG
0.67GPG