Group of Death Index

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Group of Death Index

Ranked by each group's combined WC 2010–2022 performance: wins, goals, and tournament depth.

★ = First-ever World Cup appearance

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Group Stage Advancement Map

Predicted win probability in group stage — top 2 advance to Round of 32.

Group A
Mexico ✓ R32
37%
33%
Group B
Canada ✓ R32
38.7%
27.7%
Group C
Morocco ✓ R32
38.7%
Scotland ✓ R32
33%
27.7%
Group D
Türkiye ✓ R32
38.7%
USA ✓ R32
33.3%
Group E
Germany ✓ R32
33%
Curaçao ✓ R32
33%
Group F
44.3%
Tunisia ✓ R32
37%
14.3%
Group G
Belgium ✓ R32
37%
Iran ✓ R32
33%
Group H
Spain ✓ R32
38.7%
27.7%
Group I
France ✓ R32
33%
Senegal ✓ R32
33%
33%
Group J
Argentina ✓ R32
33%
Algeria ✓ R32
33%
Group K
Portugal ✓ R32
33%
Congo DR ✓ R32
33%
Group L
England ✓ R32
42.7%
Ghana ✓ R32
33%
25.3%

Based on API prediction win% averaged over group stage matches.

First-Timers & Underdogs

12 teams making their World Cup debut in 2026.

⭐ World Cup Debutants

🌱 Low Experience (≤5 prior matches)

Panama
3P · 0W · 2G
Egypt
3P · 0W · 2G
New Zealand
3P · 0W · 2G
South Africa
3P · 1W · 3G
Canada
3P · 0W · 2G
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3P · 1W · 4G
Qatar
3P · 0W · 1G
Sweden
5P · 3W · 6G
Paraguay
5P · 1W · 3G